Source - LSE Regulatory
RNS Number : 9623G
Personal Assets Trust PLC
21 November 2022
 

To:                   RNS                                                                                             

From:             Personal Assets Trust plc

LEI:                  213800Z7ABM7RLQ41516

Date:              21 November 2022

 

 

INTERIM REPORT FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 OCTOBER 2022 (UNAUDITED)

 

FINANCIAL SUMMARY

 

Personal Assets Trust ("PAT") is an investment trust run expressly for private investors.

The Company's investment policy is to protect and increase (in that order) the value of shareholders' funds per share over the long term.

Following shareholder approval at the Annual General Meeting in July 2022, the Company's Ordinary shares were split on a 100 for one basis with effect from 1 August 2022.

Over the six months to 31 October 2022 PAT's net asset value per share ("NAV") fell by 4.4% to 470.27 pence. PAT's share price fell by 28.50 pence to 475.50 pence over the same period(1), being a premium of 0.9% to the Company's NAV at that date.

During the period, PAT continued to maintain a high level of liquidity as follows:

 

 

% as at

31 October

2022

% as at

30 April

2022

 

US TIPS

 

37.2

35.7

 

US Treasuries

 

6.4

-

 

UK Gilts

 

11.5

-

 

UK T-Bills

 

2.6

15.7

 

Gold Bullion

 

8.9

9.5

 

UK cash

 

6.0

2.6

 

Overseas cash

 

0.0

0.0

 

Net current liabilities

 

(0.2)

(1.4)

 

 

Total

 

72.4

62.1

 



Over the six months PAT's shares continued to trade close to NAV under the Company's discount and premium control policy. The Company issued the equivalent of 18,602,500 new Ordinary shares and reissued 925,000 Ordinary shares from Treasury (adding £95.5 million of capital) at a small premium and bought back 925,000 Ordinary shares (at a cost of £4.4 million) at a small discount.

Dividends are paid in July, October, January and April of each year. The first interim dividend, equivalent to 1.4 pence(1) per Ordinary share, was paid to shareholders on 22 July 2022 and the second interim dividend of 1.4 pence was paid on 7 October 2022. A third interim dividend of 1.4 pence per Ordinary share will be paid to shareholders on 11 January 2023 and it is the Board's intention, barring unforeseen circumstances, that a fourth interim dividend of 1.4 pence per Ordinary share will be paid in April 2023, making a total for the year of 5.6 pence per Ordinary share.

 

 

Key Features

 

 

 

As at

31 October

2022

As at

30 April

2022


 



Market Capitalisation

 

£1,838.3m

£1,855.1m

Shareholders' Funds

 

£1,821.9m

£1,814.4m

Shares Outstanding

 

387,409,400

368,806,900(1)

Liquidity (see fifth bullet point above)

 

72.4%

62.1%

Share Price

 

474.50p

503.00p(1)

NAV per Share

 

470.27p

491.95p(1)

FTSE All-Share Index

 

3,876.48

4,185.12

Premium to NAV

 

0.9%

2.2%

Earnings per Share

 

4.44p

8.36p(1)(2)

Dividend per Share

 

2.80p

7.00p(1)(2)(3)


 

 

 

(1) Adjusted for the 100 to one share split of the Ordinary shares on 1 August 2022.

(2) Full Year.

(3) A special dividend equivalent to 1.4 pence per Ordinary share was paid in relation to the year ended 30 April 2022. Further details on the dividends paid for the year ended 30 April 2022 are set out in note 3 below.

 

 

Investment Manager's Report

 

Over the half year to 31 October 2022, the net asset value per share ("NAV") of Personal Assets Trust ("PAT") fell by 3.6% while the FTSE All-Share Index ("FTSE") fell by 5.8%. These returns include reinvested dividends. The capital only returns were -4.4% and -7.4% respectively.

 

Over the past decade or more, investors have, often without realising it, gradually been increasing their risk. Yields on cash and bonds fell so low, in some cases to below zero, that money which had traditionally been seeking a risk-free return, had to take greater risk to receive any return at all. Moreover, those that stayed in bonds risked capital losses if and when interest rates, inflation or both began to rise. Equities have been buoyed by the view that "There is no alternative" ('TINA') for those seeking a return above the meagre offerings elsewhere. It became increasingly difficult to diversify and protect capital; liquidity had found its way into all the cracks. Stock markets have slowly and steadily become more expensive. That process, which has been in place since the Global Financial Crisis, is now in reverse. Inflation has been rising for the last 18 months and central banks have looked woefully behind the curve. Consequently, we are experiencing the fastest tightening of financial conditions since the Federal Reserve was established a century ago. This year the Fed has increased rates at a breathtaking pace, from near zero to 4%, while the Bank of England has followed to a more modest 3% base rate.

 

According to Warren Buffett, "Interest rates are to asset prices what gravity is to the apple." Rising rates are now exposing the prevailing asset overvaluation. During 2022, we have experienced the deflation of a 'bubble in everything'. Bubbles are notoriously difficult to recognise, in real time, but with hindsight we can see that the strong run in equites, immediately following the pandemic in 2020 and 2021, had similarities with the dotcom bubble of 1999. This time the market peaked with the enthusiasm for 'meme stocks' and unprofitable technology investments in the spring of 2021, and since then the bubble has been deflating. The current bear market is similar, but not identical, to the three-year stock market fall from 2000-2003. In contrast to that period, there have been few attractive alternatives to protect and grow capital in 2022. Rising yields have hit bond markets equally hard. The Bloomberg US Long Treasury Bond Index has fallen over -34% this year, its worst year on record and a performance even worse than that of the Nasdaq. The US Dollar has been the only place to hide. Gold has also protected capital in most currencies including Sterling, Euro and Yen. With these notable exceptions there have been few ports in the storm of falling equity prices. Index-linked bonds, somewhat counterintuitively, have been dragged down with the wider bond market, as longer-term inflation expectations remain low. Fortunately, we have managed duration risk carefully and most of PAT's holdings in US TIPS are short-dated. The UK's unforced error of the 'mini' budget in September revealed a vulnerability in the portfolio structure of many of the country's pension funds, exposing the gilt market to sharp falls and heightened volatility. The sell-off dragged down many other assets priced on yields, such as real estate. Alternatives have also been exposed as vulnerable to higher rates, as well as proving illiquid in the secondary market, after a period of vast new share issuance, and prices have fallen in sympathy.

 

For these reasons, the past six months has been a very challenging period in which to protect capital. We reduced the Company's equity exposure in 2021 as we became concerned about valuations. Nevertheless, during the bear market rally this summer we took the opportunity to trim equity exposure further still to c.25%. This is the most conservative that the Company has been positioned since 2008. Larger holdings in Microsoft, Alphabet, American Express and Visa were reduced and the Company's holding in Medtronic, a medical devices company, was sold.

 

Medtronic was first bought in May 2019 and we added to the holding on weakness as COVID impacted medical procedure volumes. The original investment thesis was that Medtronic's innovation pipeline was strong and that execution at the company would improve, leading to better growth in the years ahead. The company has since had several executional missteps, including delays to their surgical robot, an FDA warning letter and, most recently, supply chain issues. The recent supply chain issues are particularly disappointing as procedures have recovered to pre-COVID levels, but Medtronic is now unable to meet demand for its products, leading to weaker results. The recent issues led us to question the quality of the business and its suitability for the portfolio. The shares were sold for a modest gain over the original purchase price.

 

The Company invests in highly liquid assets, providing us with flexibility when valuations reach attractive levels. We have always sought to avoid illiquid 'lobster pot' investments, which are easily entered and hard to exit.

 

A year ago, we said: "A battle lies ahead between the 'inflation-protecting' qualities of stocks and the threat of nominal interest rate rises in the future." That battle is now raging. Yet it is not all bad news. TINA may be dead but there is today an alternative to equities. During the latest sell-off we acquired new holdings in short-dated gilts yielding over 4%. This is a return not seen for well over a decade. A cost of capital and a risk-free rate (if only in nominal rather than real terms) is now available. This is a material and welcome change for savers and investors. It also provides an anchor to valuations which has been missing for too long.

 

Rising interest rates make the risk of a recession highly probable. Thus far, stock market falls have been driven by the decline in valuations and not yet the fall in profits that would result from an economic downturn. Those are still to come in 2023. This bear market has room to run.

 

Sebastian Lyon, Investment Manager

 

 



 

Portfolio as at 31 October 2022                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            



 

Shareholders' Funds

Valuation

31 October 2022

Security

Country

Equity Sector

%

£'000

 





Equities





 Unilever

UK

Food Producer

3.4

62,071

 Visa

USA

Financial Services

2.9

52,271

 Nestlé

Switzerland

Food Producer

2.8

51,861

 Franco Nevada

Canada

Mining

2.8

50,423

 Microsoft

USA

Technology

2.8

50,133

 Diageo

UK

Beverages

2.5

45,568

 Alphabet

USA

Technology

2.0

36,613

 Agilent Technology

USA

Healthcare

1.9

35,444

 Becton Dickinson

USA

Pharmaceuticals

1.8

32,206

 American Express

USA

Financial Services

1.4

25,021

 Procter & Gamble

USA

Household Products

1.3

24,252

 Pernod-Ricard

France

Beverages

0.9

16,550

 Experian

UK

Industrial

0.6

10,680

 Moody's

USA

Financial Services

0.4

7,385

 Total Equities

 

 

27.5

500,478






US TIPS

USA


37.2

678,611

US Treasuries

USA


6.4

116,658

UK Gilts

UK


11.5

210,088

UK T-Bills

UK


2.6

47,480

Gold Bullion



8.9

161,604

Total Investments

 

94.1

1,714,919

 

 

 

 

Property



0.1

2,144

UK cash


6.0

110,028

Overseas cash


0.0

20

Net current liabilities


(0.2)

(5,245)

TOTAL PORTFOLIO

 

100.0

1,821,866

 

 



 

Geographic Analysis of Investments and Currency Exposure As At 31 October 2022                                                                                                                                                         

 


UK

USA

Canada

France

Switzerland

Total

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

Equities

6.5

14.5

2.8

0.9

2.8

27.5

Index-Linked Securities

-

37.2

-

-

-

37.2

T-Bills

2.6

-

-

-

-

2.6

GIilts

11.5

-

-

-

-

11.5

Treasuries

-

6.4

-

-

-

6.4

Gold Bullion

-

8.9

-

-

-

8.9

Property

0.1

-

-

-

-

0.1

Cash

6.0

0.0

-

-

-

6.0

Net current liabilities

(0.2)

-

-

-

-

(0.2)

Total

26.5

67.0

2.8

0.9

2.8

100.0

Net currency exposure

63.2

33.1

-

0.9

2.8

100.0

 

                                       

 

 

 



 

Statement of Principal Risks and Uncertainties

The Board believes that the principal risks to shareholders, which it seeks to mitigate through continual review of its investments and through shareholder communication, are events or developments which can affect the general level of share prices and other financial assets, including, for instance, inflation or deflation, economic recessions and movements in interest rates and currencies.

The Board acknowledges that the continuing uncertainties for global economies and financial markets, with higher levels of inflation and volatility in markets and heightened geopolitical tensions, create risks and uncertainties for the Company. The Board continues to work with the Investment Manager, the Company Secretary and its other advisers to manage these risks as far as possible.

The Board has established and maintains, with the assistance of the Company Secretary, a risk matrix which identifies the key risks to the Company. This register is formally reviewed on a regular basis. Emerging risks that could impact the Company are considered and discussed at each Board meeting, or on an ad hoc basis as required, along with any proposed mitigating actions.

The principal risks and uncertainties faced, and the way in which they are managed, are described in more detail under the heading Principal Risks and Risk Management within the Strategic Report in the Company's Annual Report for the year ended 30 April 2022.

The Company's principal risks and uncertainties have not changed since the date of the Annual Report and are not expected to change for the remaining six months of the Company's financial year.

Going Concern

The Directors believe, in the light of the controls and review processes noted above and bearing in mind the nature of the Company's business and assets, which are considered readily realisable if required, that the Company has adequate resources to continue operating for the foreseeable future. For this reason, they continue to adopt the going concern basis in preparing the financial statements.

Related Party Transactions

Details of related party transactions are contained in the Annual Report for the year ended 30 April 2022. There have been no material changes in the nature and type of the related party transactions as stated within the Annual Report.

Directors' Responsibility Statement in Respect of the Interim Report

We confirm that to the best of our knowledge:

·   the condensed set of financial statements has been prepared in accordance with IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting';

·   the Investment Manager's Report include a fair review of the information required by the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules ("DTR") 4.2.7R, being an indication of important events that have occurred during the first six months of the financial year and their impact on the condensed set of financial statements;

·   the Statement of Principal Risks and Uncertainties is a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.7R; and

·   the condensed financial statements include a fair review of the information required by DTR 4.2.8R, being related party transactions that have taken place in the first six months of the current financial year and that have materially affected the financial position or performance of the Company during the period, and any changes in the related party transactions described in the last Annual Report that could do so.

 

On behalf of the Board,

Iain Ferguson, Chairman

18 November 2022

 

 

 

 

For further information, contact:

 

Sebastian Lyon

Investment Manager

Tel:  0207 499 4030

 

Carron Dobson

Juniper Partners Limited, Company Secretary

Tel:  0131 378 0500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

Condensed Income Statement

For the six months ended 31 October 2022

 


(Unaudited)


Six months ended


31 October 2022


Revenue

Capital

 


Return

Return

Total


£'000

£'000

£'000


 

 

 

Investment income

23,283

-

23,283

Other operating income

218

-

218

Losses on investments held at fair value through profit or loss

-

(29,380)

(29,380)

Foreign exchange losses

-

(52,475)

(52,475)


 

 

 

Total income

23,501

(81,855)

(58,354)

Expenses

(2,610)

(3,330)

(5,940)


 

 

 

Return before taxation

20,891

(85,185)

(64,294)

Taxation

(3,971)

633

(3,338)


 

 

 

Return for the period

16,920

(84,552)

(67,632)

 

 

 

 

Return per share (pence)

 

4.44

 

(22.19)

(17.75)

 

The ''Return for the Period'' is also the ''Total Comprehensive Income for the period'', as defined in IAS1 (revised), and no separate Statement of Comprehensive Income has been presented.

The ''Total'' column of this statement represents the Company's Income Statement, prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards.

The Revenue Return and Capital Return columns are supplementary to this and are prepared under guidance published by the Association of Investment Companies.

All items in the above statement derive from continuing operations.

Per share values have been adjusted for the 100 for one share split of the Ordinary shares on 1 August 2022.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Condensed Income Statement

For the six months ended 31 October 2021

 


(Unaudited)


Six months ended


31 October 2021


Revenue

Capital



Return

Return

Total


£'000

£'000

£'000





Investment income

19,866

-

19,866

Other operating income

1

-

1

Gains on investments held at fair value through profit or loss

-

79,825

79,825

Foreign exchange losses

-

(3,841)

(3,841)


 

 

 

Total income

19,867

75,984

95,851

Expenses

(2,445)

(2,990)

(5,435)


 

 

 

Return before taxation

17,422

72,994

90,416

Taxation

(2,873)

2,474

(399)


 

 

 

Return for the period

14,549

75,468

90,017


 

 

 

Return per share (pence)

 

4.34

 

22.53

26.87

 



 

Condensed Income Statement

For the year ended 30 April 2022

 


(Audited)

 


Year ended

 


30 April 2022

 


Revenue

Capital

 

 


Return

Return

Total

 


£'000

£'000

£'000

 

 




 

Investment income

39,789

-

39,789

 

Other operating income

68

-

68

 

Gains on investments held at fair value through profit or loss

-

129,897

129,897

 

Foreign exchange losses

-

(49,813)

(49,813)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total income

39,857

80,084

119,941

 

Expenses

(5,016)

(6,295)

(11,311)

 


 

 

 

 

Return before taxation

34,841

73,789

108,630

 

Taxation

(5,931)

3,325

(2,606)

 


 

 

 

 

Return for the period

28,910

77,114

106,024

 


 

 

 

 

Return per share (pence)

8.36

22.31

30.67



 

Condensed Statement of Financial Position

As at 31 October 2022                               

 


(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

(Audited)


31 October

31 October

30 April


2022

2021

2022


£'000

£'000

£'000

 

 



Non-current assets

 

 



Investments held at fair value through profit or loss

 

 

1,714,919

 

1,626,221

 

1,790,814

Property

2,144

2,144

2,144

Net current assets

104,803

63,328

21,402

 

 

 

 

Net assets

1,821,866

1,691,693

1,814,360


 

 

 

Total equity

1,821,866

1,691,693

1,814,360

 

 

 

 

Net asset value per Ordinary share (pence)

470.27

489.77

491.95

 

 

 

 

                               

Per share values have been adjusted for the 100 for one share split of the Ordinary shares on 1 August 2022.

 

 

Condensed Statement of Changes in Equity

For the six months ended 31 October 2022                               

 

 

 



 

 

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

(Audited)

 

 

Six months

Six months

Year

ended

ended

ended

31 October

31 October

30 April

2022

2021

2022

£'000

£'000

£'000




 

 



Opening equity shareholders' funds

1,814,360

1,503,936

1,503,936

Return for the period

(67,632)

90,017

106,024

Ordinary dividends paid

(15,970)

(9,331)

(19,254)

Issue of Ordinary shares

95,502

107,071

223,654

Buy back of Ordinary shares

(4,394)

-

-


 

 

 

Closing equity shareholders' funds

1,821,866

1,691,693

1,814,360


 

 

 

 

 



 

Condensed Cash Flow Statement

For the six months ended 31 October 2022               

 

 

 

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

(Audited)

 

 

Six months

Six months

Year

ended

ended

ended

31 October

31 October

30 April

2022

2021

2022

£'000

£'000

£'000




Net cash (outflow)/inflow from operating activities

 

 

(2,139)

 

1,006

 

1,895

Net cash outflow from investing

 



activities

(11,841)

(102,786)

(226,126)


 

 

 

Net cash outflow before financing

 



activities

(13,980)

(101,780)

(224,231)

Net cash inflow from financing

 

 



activities

78,174

94,818

201,364


 

 

 

Net increase/(decrease) in cash and

 



cash equivalents

64,194

(6,962)

(22,867)

Cash and cash equivalents at the start of

 



the period

47,944

70,907

70,907

Effect of exchange rate changes

(2,090)

(22)

(96)


 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of

 



the period

110,048

63,923

47,944


 

 

 

 

 



 

NOTES

 

1.     The condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standard ('IFRS') IAS 34 'Interim Financial Reporting' and the accounting policies set out in the statutory accounts of the Company for the year ended 30 April 2022. The condensed consolidated financial statements do not include all of the information required for a complete set of IFRS financial statements and should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements of the Company for the year ended 30 April 2022, which were prepared under full IFRS requirements.

2.     The return per Ordinary share figure is based on the net loss for the six months of £67,632,000 (six months ended 31 October 2021: net profit of £90,017,000; year ended 30 April 2022: net profit of £106,024,000) and on 380,991,218 (six months ended 31 October 2021: 334,964,700; year ended 30 April 2022: 345,686,800) Ordinary shares, being the weighted average number of Ordinary shares in issue during the respective periods.

3.     In respect of the year ending 30 April 2023 the Board has declared a first interim dividend equivalent to 1.4 pence per Ordinary share (adjusted for the 100 for one share split on 1 August 2022), which was paid on 22 July 2022 and a second interim dividend of 1.4 pence per Ordinary share, which was paid on 7 October 2022. A third interim dividend of 1.4 pence per Ordinary share will be paid to shareholders on 11 January 2023 and it is the Board's intention, barring unforeseen circumstances, that a fourth interim dividend of 1.4 pence per Ordinary share will be paid in April 2023, making a total for the year of 5.6 pence per Ordinary share. In respect of the year ended 30 April 2022 the Board declared four interim dividends equivalent to 1.4 pence per Ordinary share and a special dividend equivalent to 1.4 pence per Ordinary share. This gave a total dividend for the year ended 30 April 2022 of 7.0 pence per Ordinary share.

4.     At 31 October 2022 there were 387,409,400 Ordinary shares in issue (31 October 2021: 345,407,900; 30 April 2022: 368,806,900, adjusted for the 100 for one share split on 1 August 2022). During the six months ended 31 October 2022 the Company issued the equivalent of 18,602,500 new Ordinary shares, reissued 925,000 Ordinary shares from Treasury and bought back 925,000 Ordinary shares.

5.     The Board has considered the requirements of IFRS 8 'Operating Segments'. The Board is of the view that the Company is engaged in a single segment of business, being that of investing in equity shares, fixed interest securities and other investments, and that therefore the Company has only a single operating segment.

6.     The Company held the following categories of financial instruments as at 31 October 2022:

 


Level 1

£'000

Level 2

£'000

Level 3

£'000

Total

£'000

Investments

1,714,919

-

-

1,714,919

Current liabilities

-

(2,974)

-

(2,974)

Total

1,714,919

(2,974)

-

1,711,945

The above table provides an analysis of investments based on the fair value hierarchy described below and which reflects the reliability and significance of the information used to measure their fair value. The levels are determined by the lowest (that is, the least reliable or least independently observable) level of impact that is significant to the fair value measurement for the individual investment in its entirety as follows:

Level 1 reflects financial instruments quoted in an active market. The Company's investment in Gold Bullion has been included in this level.

Level 2 reflects financial instruments the fair value of which is evidenced by comparison with other observable current market transactions in the same instrument or based on a valuation technique the variables of which include only data from observable markets. The Company's forward currency contract has been included in this level as fair value is achieved using the foreign exchange spot rate and forward points which vary depending on the duration of the contract.

Level 3 reflects financial instruments the fair value of which is determined in whole or in part using a valuation technique based on assumptions that are not supported by prices from observable market transactions in the same instrument and not based on available observable market data.

There were no transfers of investments between levels in the period ended 31 October 2022.

The following table summarises the Company's Level 1 investments that were accounted for at fair value in the period to 31 October 2022.

 


 

£'000

Opening book cost

1,440,134

Opening fair value adjustment

350,680

Opening valuation

1,790,814

Movement in the period:


Purchases at cost

950,152

Effective yield adjustment

15,639

Sales - proceeds

(1,012,306)

  - gains on sales

74,611

Decrease in fair value adjustment

(103,991)

Closing valuation at 31 October 2022

1,714,919

Closing book cost

1,468,230

Closing fair value adjustment

246,689

Closing valuation at 31 October 2022

1,714,919

 

Other aspects of the Company's financial risk management objectives and policies are consistent with those disclosed in the consolidated financial statements as at and for the year ended 30 April 2022.

The fair value of the Company's financial assets and liabilities as at 31 October 2022 was not materially different from their carrying values in the financial statements.

7.     These are not full statutory accounts in terms of Section 434 of the Companies Act 2006 and are unaudited. Statutory accounts for the year ended 30 April 2022, which received an unqualified audit report and which did not contain a statement under Section 498 of the Companies Act 2006, have been lodged with the Registrar of Companies. No full statutory accounts in respect of any period after 30 April 2022 have been reported on by the Company's auditors or delivered to the Registrar of Companies.

8.     A copy of the Interim Report is available on the Company's website at www.patplc.co.uk. Shareholders are encouraged to visit the website for further information on the Company.

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